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Saturday, September 06, 2003

According to the latest Zogby poll, George W. Bush's job performance rating has fallen below 50 percent, with 45 percent saying that his performance is good or excellent and 54 percent rating it fair or poor. Daily Kos comments: "This is the first time Zogby has tallied a majority of "negative" ratings since Bush took office. And as far as I know, this is the first poll to put Bush under the (psychologically) important 50 percent line."
--Posted at 6:17 PM | link

Friday, September 05, 2003

The Democratic candidates (excluding Al Sharpton, who was delayed by poor weather) held a debate at the University of New Mexico. I didn't catch it, but you can find more than enough commentary about it in one of the Comments sections at Daily Kos.
--Posted at 12:07 PM | link

The Economist has an article about the 2004 election, covering Bush's strengths and weaknesses as well as the battles among the Democrats. It notes that Republicans and Democrats tend to focus on two different years, 1896 and 1992, respectively. In 1896, William McKinley won the presidency and started a 20-year period of uninterrupted Republican rule. Republicans hope, and Democrats worry that the 2000 election could have been the start of another period of Republican domination. Democrats prefer to focus on 1992, when the once apparently invincible Bush the first lost the election to Clinton. But the article argues that the analogy is not exact; not only is Bush focusing on economic issues more than his father did, but he also has much stronger support from the Christian right.

The election of 2000, where the loss of a single state could have unambiguously given the win to Gore, doesn't provide much hope to Democrats either. As the article points out, the population and the electoral vote allocation have shifted in favor of conservative states. Bush would win 278 electoral votes if he won the same set of states that he did in 2000, instead of his previous total of 271. Thus, Democrats would have a tougher fight this time, even if everything else about the 2000 election were the same in 2004.

In another article, the Economist reflects on the past, present and future of the Bush presidency.
--Posted at 11:49 AM | link

Thursday, September 04, 2003

An activist is encouraging Hillary Clinton to run for president in 2004, even though she has ruled out a presidential bid. The activist, Bob Kunst of Miami, is aware that Hillary Clinton is not planning to run, but he doesn't mind. He thinks that the Democrats will be deadlocked at their 2004 convention, and that Hillary could step in at the last minute and break the deadlock.
--Posted at 5:59 PM | link

Some of the people who want to draft Wesley Clark have put together a FAQ, using quotations from Wesley Clark to illustrate his positions on important issues (click on "What is Clark's Position On..." from the menu on the left). While the quotation lists for issues like "Decriminalizing Drugs" and "Reproductive Rights" are a bit scanty, there's a lot for National Security and Foreign Policy, which is perceived to be Clark's main strength. (Via TAPPED).
--Posted at 11:22 AM | link

From Drudge...

TUCKER CARLSON: A lot of entertainers have come out against the war in Iraq. Have you?

BRITNEY SPEARS: Honestly, I think we should just trust our president in every decision that he makes and we should just support that, you know, and be faithful in what happens.

CARLSON: Do you trust this president?

SPEARS: Yes, I do.

CARLSON: Excellent. Do you think he's going to win again?

SPEARS: I don't know. I don't know that.

--Posted at 11:04 AM | link

Franklin Foer and Noam Scheiber of the New Republic are debating about Wesley Clark, specifically about whether he has a good chance of being nominated if he enters the race on September 19.
--Posted at 10:53 AM | link

Wednesday, September 03, 2003

Wesley Clark says he's a Democrat. No surprise here--even though he had been dancing around the issue for months. Clark plans to make his intentions regarding the presidency clear on September 19.
--Posted at 9:09 PM | link

Tuesday, September 02, 2003

Via Daily Kos, I discovered a debate between two North Carolina bloggers over the future of John Edwards' candidacy. Monkey Media Report argues that Edwards will drop out of the race before Christmas. DrFrankLives argues not only that Edwards will last beyond Christmas, but also that he has a shot at winning. Both bloggers back up their points with plenty of links.
--Posted at 5:19 PM | link

Kerry went ahead with his decision to kick off his campaign in front of the USS Yorktown. Most of Kerry's speech criticized Bush's record as president, and emphasized his own military experience. He also took a few swipes at Dean, who holds a 21-point lead over Kerry in New Hampshire polls.
--Posted at 5:04 PM | link

Sorry about my failure to post for a while; I didn't have regular access to a computer. I should be posting more frequently now.
--Posted at 3:57 PM |

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